AFC Playoff Picture at three-quarter mark - 2018

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  • richpjr
    Registered Charger Fan
    • Jun 2013
    • 21035
    • Nashville
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    AFC Playoff Picture at three-quarter mark - 2018

    Copied this from the Chiefs forum since it applies to us:

    AFC Playoff Picture at three-quarter mark - 2018
    Now we enter the home stretch. 4 games to go:

    DIVISION:

    1. Kansas City 10-2 (BYE)
    2. New England 9-3 (BYE)
    3. Houston 9-3
    4. Pittsburgh 7-4-1

    WILD CARD:
    5. LA Chargers 9-3
    6. Baltimore 7-5

    ---

    7. Miami 6-6
    8. Indianapolis 6-6
    9. Denver 6-6
    10. Tennessee 6-6


    SCHEDULES:
    KC - BAL, LAC, @SEA, OAK
    NE - @MIA, @PIT, BUF, NYJ
    HOU - IND, @NYJ, @PHI, JAX
    PIT - @OAK, NE, @NO, CIN

    LAC - CIN, @KC, BAL, @DEN
    BAL - @KC, TB, @SD, CLE

    MIA - NE, @MIN, JAX, @BUF
    IND - @HOU, DAL, NYG, @TEN
    DEN - @SF, CLE, @OAK, SD
    TEN - JAX, @NYG, WAS, IND
  • JupiterBolt
    ~ Charger Fan ~
    • Sep 2018
    • 216
    • Jupiter, FL
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    #2
    Finishing 2-2 will clinch the wildcard. 4-0 might win the division.

    Comment

    • Bolt-O
      Administrator
      • Jun 2013
      • 32157
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      #3
      Per fivethirtyeight.com ELO, 96% chance of making the playoffs.

      Comment

      • richpjr
        Registered Charger Fan
        • Jun 2013
        • 21035
        • Nashville
        • Send PM

        #4
        Denver has 3 really easy games before they play us. I'd really like to have 11 wins when we play them so it is meaningless.

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        • rikardo
          Registered Charger Fan
          • Jun 2013
          • 1027
          • Send PM

          #5
          If we win out and KC lose to Sea (and lose to use) do the Chargers get the #1 seed?

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          • Bolt-O
            Administrator
            • Jun 2013
            • 32157
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            #6
            It's getting close to where we need to run those simulations on ole playoff machine.

            Use the NFL Playoff Machine from ESPN to predict the NFL Playoff matchups by generating the various matchup scenarios based on your selections.

            Comment

            • Formula 21
              The Future is Now
              • Jun 2013
              • 16188
              • Republic of San Diego
              • Send PM

              #7
              So we have to go to Pittsburgh again? Noooooooooooooooooooooooooo.
              Now, if you excuse me, I have some Charger memories to suppress.
              The Wasted Decade is done.
              Build Back Better.

              Comment

              • Formula 21
                The Future is Now
                • Jun 2013
                • 16188
                • Republic of San Diego
                • Send PM

                #8
                Im rooting for us to lose the Ravens so they can win the division.
                Now, if you excuse me, I have some Charger memories to suppress.
                The Wasted Decade is done.
                Build Back Better.

                Comment

                • Bolt-O
                  Administrator
                  • Jun 2013
                  • 32157
                  • Send PM

                  #9
                  Originally posted by rikardo View Post
                  If we win out and KC lose to Sea (and lose to use) do the Chargers get the #1 seed?
                  Probably would need Houston and NE to lose some games to get the the #1 seed, but if KC loses those 2, and the Chargers win out, the Chargers will win the division, probably with the #3 seed.

                  Comment

                  • Bolt-O
                    Administrator
                    • Jun 2013
                    • 32157
                    • Send PM

                    #10
                    Congratualtion, Bay Area... both your teams officially out of playoff contention. Per PlayoffStatus.com, Chargers at 95% chance of making the playoffs, around 10% of winning the division.

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                    • chargerkdb
                      Charger Fan
                      • Jun 2013
                      • 1933
                      • Hotter than hell, Georgia
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                      #11

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                      • chargerkdb
                        Charger Fan
                        • Jun 2013
                        • 1933
                        • Hotter than hell, Georgia
                        • Send PM

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Bolt-O View Post

                        Probably would need Houston and NE to lose some games to get the the #1 seed, but if KC loses those 2, and the Chargers win out, the Chargers will win the division, probably with the #3 seed.
                        Assuming we win out and Texas and NE win out we would be 2 seed. Same record, same conference record, NE beats Texas in head to head and NE just nips us in common opponents. Both Texas and NE lost to Tennessee but NE beat KC and best we could do is split with them. KC has 2 more losses in them, Us and Seattle

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