Welcome Drue Tranquill, ILB, Notre Dame

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  • Fleet
    TPB Founder
    • Jun 2013
    • 14162
    • Cardiff - Poipu
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    #37
    Originally posted by Xenos View Post

    Are these the SPARQ ratings that I keep hearing about?
    Those are Draftscouts combine and proday numbers.

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    • Xenos
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      • Feb 2019
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      #38
      Originally posted by Fleet View Post

      Those are Draftscouts combine and proday numbers.
      Okay thanks! I keep hearing about how SPARQ played a role in some of the defensive choices that we made because of Bradley and the Seattle connection.

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      • Formula 21
        The Future is Now
        • Jun 2013
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        • Republic of San Diego
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        #39
        I'm pretty happy to have a real backup mlb.
        Now, if you excuse me, I have some Charger memories to suppress.
        The Wasted Decade is done.
        Build Back Better.

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        • Xenos
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          • Feb 2019
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          #40
          The more I read about Drue, the more I like this pick. Just hoping he can stay healthy.

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          • Fleet
            TPB Founder
            • Jun 2013
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            #41
            Originally posted by Xenos View Post

            Okay thanks! I keep hearing about how SPARQ played a role in some of the defensive choices that we made because of Bradley and the Seattle connection.
            Possible. But i just have a lot of experience with Scout. Those numbers havnt changed in i dont know how many years. Its sad that its a pure pay site these days. I used to be friends with the former owner Jon Cooney. Son of Frank. Who is a big name in the scouting industry.

            Im still trying to get access to the site.

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            • Formula 21
              The Future is Now
              • Jun 2013
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              #42
              Tranquill has the 26th best lb score in its history at 98.7. That means his athleticism is in the 98.7 percentile. Theres some pretty great lbs ahead of him, but also some unknowns.
              Year Pos Name School ATRAS RAS
              2018 LB Lorenzo Carter Georgia 10 10
              2012 LB Luke Kuechly Boston College 9.99 10
              2006 LB Manny Lawson North Carolina State 9.99 10
              2018 LB Leighton Vander Esch Boise State 9.98 10
              2002 LB Raonall Smith Washington State 9.98 10
              2011 LB Von Miller Texas A&M 9.97 10
              2007 LB Zak DeOssie Brown 9.97 10
              2013 LB Paul Worrilow Delaware 9.96 9.9
              2012 LB Bruce Irvin West Virginia 9.96 10
              2011 LB Martez Wilson Illinois 9.95 9.9
              2009 LB Jason Williams Western Illinois 9.95 9.9
              2015 LB Stephone Anthony Clemson 9.94 9.9
              2008 LB Stanford Keglar Purdue 9.94 9.9
              2006 LB John Chick Utah State 9.93 9.9
              2000 LB Brian Urlacher New Mexico 9.93 10
              2017 LB T.J. Watt Wisconsin 9.92 9.9
              2014 LB Ryan Shazier Ohio State 9.92 9.9
              2012 LB Miles Burris San Diego State 9.91 9.9
              2002 LB Scott Fujita California 9.91 10
              2018 LB Kendall Donnerson Southeast Missouri 9.9 9.9
              2017 LB Dylan Cole Missouri State 9.9 9.9
              2013 LB Jeremiah Green Nevada 9.89 9.9
              2007 LB Quincy Black New Mexico 9.89 9.8
              2019 LB Quinton Bell Prarie View A&M 9.88 9.9
              2006 LB Thomas Howard UTEP 9.88 9.9
              2019 LB Drue Tranquill Notre Dame 9.87 9.9
              Now, if you excuse me, I have some Charger memories to suppress.
              The Wasted Decade is done.
              Build Back Better.

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              • Steve
                Administrator
                • Jun 2013
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                • South Carolina
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                #43
                Hard to know what to make of them, if this is really the top 26 of all time. The list has a lot of names that really didn't do anything as players. I don't know how it is calculated so it's not clear what it is supposed to mean.

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                • Boltjolt
                  Dont let the PBs fool ya
                  • Jun 2013
                  • 26566
                  • Henderson, NV
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                  #44
                  Originally posted by Steve View Post
                  Hard to know what to make of them, if this is really the top 26 of all time. The list has a lot of names that really didn't do anything as players. I don't know how it is calculated so it's not clear what it is supposed to mean.
                  That's what I was thinking,.... another useless stat lol.
                  11 Brock Bowers TE - Georgia
                  35 Kris Jenkins DT - Michigan
                  37 Cooper Beebe OG -Kansas st
                  66 Mike Sainristil CB - Michigan
                  69 Jaylen Wright RB - Tenn or Blake Corum - Michigan
                  105 Brenden Rice WR - USC
                  110 Cedric Gray LB - N. Carolina
                  140 Hunter Nourzad OC - Penn st
                  181 Cedrick Johnson Edge - Mississippi
                  225 Josh Procter S-Ohio st /253 Dwight McGlothern CB -Ar​

                  Comment

                  • Formula 21
                    The Future is Now
                    • Jun 2013
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                    • Republic of San Diego
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                    #45
                    Originally posted by Steve View Post
                    Hard to know what to make of them, if this is really the top 26 of all time. The list has a lot of names that really didn't do anything as players. I don't know how it is calculated so it's not clear what it is supposed to mean.
                    You've seen it mentioned here before and anyone that follows me on Twitter (@MathBomb), the RAS.  It stands for...

                    RAS: Relative Athletic Scores Explained

                    by Kent Platte 3 years ago
                    You've seen it mentioned here before and anyone that follows me on Twitter (@MathBomb), the RAS. It stands for Relative Athletic Score, and I use it to show either a present NFL player or a NFL draft prospect's measurements in relation to their position group. The simple explanation for RAS is that it is a relative score that can show any measurement on a scale of 0-10 where 5.00 is always the average for that position group. We've already shown that the Detroit Lions have the smartest fan base, however, so you probably want more explanation than that, so here is some detail of how I developed the RAS and how it works.

                    Why Do It? Are 40 Times Not Good Enough?!?!

                    The short answer to this is no, no they are not. A longer answer is that I developed this score as a way of showing the difference between a 4.52 40 time for a cornerback and that of a defensive end. If you tell a layman that a player ran a 4.52, most won't know what that means. Common rebuttal is "Is that good?" And what's the answer? "Well, yes, I mean for some positions, but it's kind of average for others and not so great for others.

                    RAS makes it much easier to explain this disparity by position. That same 40 time, 4.52, is a 4.21 out of 10.00 for a receiver, or slightly below average. It's an 8.00 out of 10.00 for a tight end, clearly well above average. It's a 9.82 for a defensive end, or downright elite. Most fans can't recite the average for every position off the top of their head (And if you can, bravo!), so answering whether a score is good or not based on 40 time requires some googling to know for sure. With RAS, it's simple to understand that 5.00 is average, below that is bad, above that is good. Easy.

                    With RAS, it's simple to understand that 5.00 is average, below that is bad, above that is good. Easy.


                    It isn't just 40 time, though, I did this for every measurement I could. In its present incarnation, RAS encompasses ten different measurements. Height and weight to cover physical makeup; 40 yard dash and the 20/10 yard splits to cover speed and acceleration; vertical and broad jump to show burst; shuttle and 3 cone to show agility; and bench to show upper body strength. But wait, that still doesn't give us the whole picture! We can't be expected to explain 10 different scores just to know whether we should call someone a good athlete or not! That's right, which is why we have to find that one number to do all that. That's where the RAS Grade comes in.


                    1.1
                    The RAS Grade
                    Putting measurements on an easy to understand 0-10 scale is a neat trick, but it doesn't really mean anything on its own. Originally, I used an average of the 10 individual scores. This score was adequate for what I used it for, but it wasn't very user-friendly. 5.00 wasn't really average for most positions, and there were no scores over 8.5 or under 2, so it wasn't truly doing what I wanted it to do.
                    To accomplish my goal of making a user-friendly metric that anyone can use to show how athletic a player is, I just took the averages for each position and used an old statistical trick called "Weighting for density". Essentially I ranked the qualifying RAS scores from 0 to 10, where 5.00 will again be the middle, 10.00 will be the top score for that position (Like our friend Calvin Johnson in the picture above), and 0.00 will be the dead bottom.
                    would it matter? In general, athletic ability has a positive correlation to success in the NFL while a lack of athletic ability tends to correlate to the opposite. RAS just puts a number on those sorts of things, and allows us to look at it from a mathematical perspective. I've been pretty successful in using it to gauge draftability and even draft status so far, as it has a much stronger correlation to draft status than it does actual NFL success. Byron Jones, for instance, considered a late 2nd to early 3rd round pick by many during the draft process jumped up charts when he had a monster of a combine. His RAS score actually topped all cornerbacks in my database, and 11 out of the top 20 corners by RAS went in the 1st round, with the remaining 9 going in the 2nd or 3rd. The final RAS Grade calculation allows us to show who had the best overall measurements for a position group, rating a 10.00 out of 10.00. By attaching a number to a player's athleticism, we can use their measurements to realistically compare success at an NFL level to how athletic a player is. Sure, we could do that individually before, pointing out the athletic phenoms that succeed. Players like Brandon Flowers (1.23 RAS Grade), Vontaze Burfict (0.07 RAS Grade), and Antonio Brown (0.62 RAS Grade) would never get the recognition they deserve for really defying the odds, however. Having a higher RAS Grade tends to correlate to NFL success, but it isn't a requirement. The odds are just higher.

                    Now, if you excuse me, I have some Charger memories to suppress.
                    The Wasted Decade is done.
                    Build Back Better.

                    Comment

                    • Boltjolt
                      Dont let the PBs fool ya
                      • Jun 2013
                      • 26566
                      • Henderson, NV
                      • Send PM

                      #46
                      Originally posted by Formula 21 View Post

                      You've seen it mentioned here before and anyone that follows me on Twitter (@MathBomb), the RAS.  It stands for...

                      RAS: Relative Athletic Scores Explained

                      by Kent Platte 3 years ago
                      You've seen it mentioned here before and anyone that follows me on Twitter (@MathBomb), the RAS. It stands for Relative Athletic Score, and I use it to show either a present NFL player or a NFL draft prospect's measurements in relation to their position group. The simple explanation for RAS is that it is a relative score that can show any measurement on a scale of 0-10 where 5.00 is always the average for that position group. We've already shown that the Detroit Lions have the smartest fan base, however, so you probably want more explanation than that, so here is some detail of how I developed the RAS and how it works.

                      Why Do It? Are 40 Times Not Good Enough?!?!

                      The short answer to this is no, no they are not. A longer answer is that I developed this score as a way of showing the difference between a 4.52 40 time for a cornerback and that of a defensive end. If you tell a layman that a player ran a 4.52, most won't know what that means. Common rebuttal is "Is that good?" And what's the answer? "Well, yes, I mean for some positions, but it's kind of average for others and not so great for others.

                      RAS makes it much easier to explain this disparity by position. That same 40 time, 4.52, is a 4.21 out of 10.00 for a receiver, or slightly below average. It's an 8.00 out of 10.00 for a tight end, clearly well above average. It's a 9.82 for a defensive end, or downright elite. Most fans can't recite the average for every position off the top of their head (And if you can, bravo!), so answering whether a score is good or not based on 40 time requires some googling to know for sure. With RAS, it's simple to understand that 5.00 is average, below that is bad, above that is good. Easy.

                      With RAS, it's simple to understand that 5.00 is average, below that is bad, above that is good. Easy.


                      It isn't just 40 time, though, I did this for every measurement I could. In its present incarnation, RAS encompasses ten different measurements. Height and weight to cover physical makeup; 40 yard dash and the 20/10 yard splits to cover speed and acceleration; vertical and broad jump to show burst; shuttle and 3 cone to show agility; and bench to show upper body strength. But wait, that still doesn't give us the whole picture! We can't be expected to explain 10 different scores just to know whether we should call someone a good athlete or not! That's right, which is why we have to find that one number to do all that. That's where the RAS Grade comes in.


                      1.1
                      The RAS Grade
                      Putting measurements on an easy to understand 0-10 scale is a neat trick, but it doesn't really mean anything on its own. Originally, I used an average of the 10 individual scores. This score was adequate for what I used it for, but it wasn't very user-friendly. 5.00 wasn't really average for most positions, and there were no scores over 8.5 or under 2, so it wasn't truly doing what I wanted it to do.
                      To accomplish my goal of making a user-friendly metric that anyone can use to show how athletic a player is, I just took the averages for each position and used an old statistical trick called "Weighting for density". Essentially I ranked the qualifying RAS scores from 0 to 10, where 5.00 will again be the middle, 10.00 will be the top score for that position (Like our friend Calvin Johnson in the picture above), and 0.00 will be the dead bottom.
                      would it matter? In general, athletic ability has a positive correlation to success in the NFL while a lack of athletic ability tends to correlate to the opposite. RAS just puts a number on those sorts of things, and allows us to look at it from a mathematical perspective. I've been pretty successful in using it to gauge draftability and even draft status so far, as it has a much stronger correlation to draft status than it does actual NFL success. Byron Jones, for instance, considered a late 2nd to early 3rd round pick by many during the draft process jumped up charts when he had a monster of a combine. His RAS score actually topped all cornerbacks in my database, and 11 out of the top 20 corners by RAS went in the 1st round, with the remaining 9 going in the 2nd or 3rd. The final RAS Grade calculation allows us to show who had the best overall measurements for a position group, rating a 10.00 out of 10.00. By attaching a number to a player's athleticism, we can use their measurements to realistically compare success at an NFL level to how athletic a player is. Sure, we could do that individually before, pointing out the athletic phenoms that succeed. Players like Brandon Flowers (1.23 RAS Grade), Vontaze Burfict (0.07 RAS Grade), and Antonio Brown (0.62 RAS Grade) would never get the recognition they deserve for really defying the odds, however. Having a higher RAS Grade tends to correlate to NFL success, but it isn't a requirement. The odds are just higher.
                      Thanks for that, but my ADD doesn't allow me to read it all at once lol.
                      Im looking at it and thinking, WTF is he talking about?



                      11 Brock Bowers TE - Georgia
                      35 Kris Jenkins DT - Michigan
                      37 Cooper Beebe OG -Kansas st
                      66 Mike Sainristil CB - Michigan
                      69 Jaylen Wright RB - Tenn or Blake Corum - Michigan
                      105 Brenden Rice WR - USC
                      110 Cedric Gray LB - N. Carolina
                      140 Hunter Nourzad OC - Penn st
                      181 Cedrick Johnson Edge - Mississippi
                      225 Josh Procter S-Ohio st /253 Dwight McGlothern CB -Ar​

                      Comment

                      • Xenos
                        Moderator
                        • Feb 2019
                        • 8875
                        • Send PM

                        #47
                        Originally posted by Boltjolt View Post

                        Thanks for that, but my ADD doesn't allow me to read it all at once lol.
                        Im looking at it and thinking, WTF is he talking about?


                        I skimmed through it quickly but he's trying to explain stats and context, and how his formula can help provide guidelines on the success of a lot of NFL players. For example, a fast 40 time isn't as important for a receiver as it is for a corner. There are exceptions of course.

                        Comment

                        • Steve
                          Administrator
                          • Jun 2013
                          • 6841
                          • South Carolina
                          • Meteorologist
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                          #48
                          It strikes me he is just trying to make a 0 to 10 point scale to just how good of an athlete a player is. He normalizes it for each position so that 5.0 is average for NFL prospects.

                          The thing that I don't get is he says that RAS tends to correlates to NFL success. OK.....what does that mean. I can do the correlation, but what is success? Is it getting drafted? Is it starting (I still don't know what people mean by starting players, but whatever..) .....Is it overall play for their position (pro bowl .... all pro....HOF.... ).

                          This is some of the Moneyball nonsense that is so popular. Trying to get things to one number that means something by itself. IN a game of 11 moving pieces, that is split into plays with a million situations, how can 1 number really sum things up?

                          Moneyball works in baseball because it is easy to isolate things. If things are very, very simple, statistics do closely suggest that that correlation and causation are the same things (they aren't but they are close).

                          Football, there are so many things going on at once, it is impossible. In complex physical systems, a scientist would never use statistics unless he could complete isolating the conditions so his statistics really do isolate things. If you can't, why would you think using statistics is a good idea. At least in the boiling everything down to one number sense.

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