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Here are my thoughts on the lines going into this week:
Biggest bet of the week:
Cincy -1 - Cincy is coming off their bye week, and AJ Green should be a much bigger part of their offense. NE is struggling vs the run and pass, and their offense looks totally out of sync. I don't see them able to push the ball down the field, their OLine is getting thrashed, and I do't think their run game will do much vs the Bengals.
Also like:
Cleveland -1 @ Tenn - Tenn has issues all over the map. They also struggle vs the run, which should play into Cleveland's strength.
Tampa +10 @NO: Until is see NO play better on offense AND defense, 10 points is too many. Tampa should be able to move the ball in the run game, and set up play action deep down the field. Glennon is much better at doing this, and I think Murphy will be adequate in replacing Evans. I expect a big game from Jackson exposing the weak coverage by NO.
SEA - 6.5 vs Wash: I will buy the point to make it less than a touchdown. SEA, although not a good road team, should put pressure on Cousins and limit Morris in the run game. Lynch and Harvin should have a field day vs a badly banged up Wash D.
Giants -4 vs Atlanta: Both offense and defense of NYG appear to have turned a corner. Atl struggles on D vs the run and pass and is totally incapable of putting pressure on the QB, which is Sheli's achilles heal. I expect them to pound Jennings at the soft Atlanta D, then use play action to Donnell and the WRs. Atlanta is a terrible road team.
PITT -6 vs Jacksonville: After a bad home loss to TB, I expect PITT to use Bell, Brown, and Miller to expose the weakest D in the NFL. I do not think Jax has the weapons to take advantage of a banged up PITT defense. Small bet here.
Balt +3.5 @ Indy: I will take the hook and the better defense. Baltimore should be able to put pressure on Luck and keep the game close. I wold not be surprised if they pulled the upset outright in this one.
Biggest bet of the week:
Cincy -1 - Cincy is coming off their bye week, and AJ Green should be a much bigger part of their offense. NE is struggling vs the run and pass, and their offense looks totally out of sync. I don't see them able to push the ball down the field, their OLine is getting thrashed, and I do't think their run game will do much vs the Bengals.
Also like:
Cleveland -1 @ Tenn - Tenn has issues all over the map. They also struggle vs the run, which should play into Cleveland's strength.
Tampa +10 @NO: Until is see NO play better on offense AND defense, 10 points is too many. Tampa should be able to move the ball in the run game, and set up play action deep down the field. Glennon is much better at doing this, and I think Murphy will be adequate in replacing Evans. I expect a big game from Jackson exposing the weak coverage by NO.
SEA - 6.5 vs Wash: I will buy the point to make it less than a touchdown. SEA, although not a good road team, should put pressure on Cousins and limit Morris in the run game. Lynch and Harvin should have a field day vs a badly banged up Wash D.
Giants -4 vs Atlanta: Both offense and defense of NYG appear to have turned a corner. Atl struggles on D vs the run and pass and is totally incapable of putting pressure on the QB, which is Sheli's achilles heal. I expect them to pound Jennings at the soft Atlanta D, then use play action to Donnell and the WRs. Atlanta is a terrible road team.
PITT -6 vs Jacksonville: After a bad home loss to TB, I expect PITT to use Bell, Brown, and Miller to expose the weakest D in the NFL. I do not think Jax has the weapons to take advantage of a banged up PITT defense. Small bet here.
Balt +3.5 @ Indy: I will take the hook and the better defense. Baltimore should be able to put pressure on Luck and keep the game close. I wold not be surprised if they pulled the upset outright in this one.
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