Week 5 betting lines

[Savage Lizard]

Here are my thoughts on the lines going into this week:

Biggest bet of the week:

Cincy -1 - Cincy is coming off their bye week, and AJ Green should be a much bigger part of their offense. NE is struggling vs the run and pass, and their offense looks totally out of sync. I don't see them able to push the ball down the field, their OLine is getting thrashed, and I do't think their run game will do much vs the Bengals.

I like this one a lot. I was stunned to see Cincy as only a 1 point favorite. The Patriots got destroyed Monday night, and barely escaped the Raiders the week before. Cincy is unbeaten and looks good. The Patriots just aren't that good right now, Brady and Belichick mystique won't get them through.

[Panamamike]

I do not regularly bet NFL games, but my $.02 is:

I like CIN -1, but only think they will win a close game.

I think PIT -6 probably covers at JAC.



I really don't like TB +10 at NO (as in, if I had to bet it, I would bet it the other way and give the 10 points). NO is usually tough at home and they need the game. They are only 1-3, but all 3 losses were on the road and their one home game was a double digit point win. Two of their losses were close losses. They could just as easily be 3-1. (And I am kind of an anti-NO guy in that I root against them usually.)

I wouldn't touch any of the other games you listed--too unpredictable.

If I were betting, the game I like the most is the Lions -7 at home versus the Orton led Bills. That game smells like a blowout.

Good luck with your wagering.

When I made my post earlier the Detroit line had moved here to 7.5. I was waiitng for it to come back to 7. It did and i took it. Had planned it for my #2 bet.....just had to wait for the line to come back ..detroit's strengths vs buffalo's weaknesses matchup well. Strong vs run, and pass well.

I am ok with tampa. Could they get blown out in NO? Sure. But they are a much better team with Glennon starting. Their D is getting healthier. It is a small bet....one team is playing much better.....NO is playing like crap. Again, I think 10pts is too much, and NO lines are still distorted due to previous biases from expectation. I have bet NO correctly every week so far, so we shall see. And I would never take a team that is struggling (and make no mistake they are struggling on both sides of the ball) and lay double digits. If NO was playing well, that is a whole different ball game.

I think Cincy will hammer NE. Complete beat down.

Anyway, it gives me a reason to watch the games....lol.

[sandiego17]

Matchup: New York Jets at San Diego Chargers



Spread: Chargers minus-6.5
Public consensus pick: 76 percent picked Chargers

Public perception: San Diego is starting to look more and more like a public team with its high-powered offense and underrated defense (ninth in yards allowed per game).

Wiseguys' view: With so many people on the Chargers, it's kind of surprising that this line has come down from 7 at most books. Of course, that's the sharps jumping in on the underdog.

Tuley's Take: I would normally like a team like the Jets in this spot, one that can run the ball and play good defense, but I've been high on the Chargers since before the season started and I believe this number is too short for me to take the underdog. The pick: Pass (pool play: Chargers)

[rikardo]

Well Tom and Bill are not playing with the same offensive explosion of years past. I am comfortable with my bet .

Doubt Dalton all you want. All he does is put up numbers and win....at least until January. Lol. He also has an excellent D to lean on.

You were saying???

[Panamamike]

You were saying???

This game is far from over.

Yes the Patsies look better tonight.

[Formula 21]

It is now.

[Panamamike]

Fumble kickoff return for Td....it's over now.

[Panama]

Fumble kickoff return for Td....it's over now.

And so is my SD-Sea-Cincy bet.

[Boltergeist]

Save your money. I am running out of energy for too many more posts in that thread.

I can quit anytime I want. :Cheers1::Cheers1::Cheers1::Cheers1::Cheers1::Chee rs1: