I like statistics.
I don't believe they are the end all, but humans suffer from perception bias, and statistics help counter that.
(Look up Perception Bias, its something everybody should be aware of, it effects EVERYBODY.)
For quarterbacks, I like ESPN's Total QBR, as it is one of the few metrics that take into account passing and running, discounts garbage time stats, and takes into account situations, I.E. 4 yard completion on 4th and 3 is great, 4 yard completion on 4th and 5 sucks.
So, to compare Burrow and Herbert after 5 weeks, I look at QBR.
Burrow has 5 games, with QBRs listed from best to worst
82.6, 54.1, 53.2, 15.9, 5.7
Herbert with 4 games, with QBR's listed from best to worst
87.4, 76.7, 74.5, 58.0
Season to date QBR
Burrow 43.7 ranked 30th in NFL
Herbert 74.0 ranked 15th in NFL
The thing that most jumps out at me here is consistency.
Herbert has one mediocre game, and 3 excellent games.
Burrow has 2 horrible games, 2 mediocre games, and 1 excellent game.
At draft time, the word on Herbert was he had flashes of absurd brilliance, but was massively inconsistent.
Burrow was thought to be the NFL ready QB with a history of consistency.
I was one of those people who was worried about Herbert's inconsistency in college, I worried he would not be able to be consistent enough against the much better defenses that are in the NFL.
I was very wrong.
P.S.
Burrow is doing fine. Historically, rookies are inconsistent, have multiple horrible games, etc
The comparison with Herbert is almost unfair, as Herbert is putting up historically insane numbers for a rookie.
I don't believe they are the end all, but humans suffer from perception bias, and statistics help counter that.
(Look up Perception Bias, its something everybody should be aware of, it effects EVERYBODY.)
For quarterbacks, I like ESPN's Total QBR, as it is one of the few metrics that take into account passing and running, discounts garbage time stats, and takes into account situations, I.E. 4 yard completion on 4th and 3 is great, 4 yard completion on 4th and 5 sucks.
So, to compare Burrow and Herbert after 5 weeks, I look at QBR.
Burrow has 5 games, with QBRs listed from best to worst
82.6, 54.1, 53.2, 15.9, 5.7
Herbert with 4 games, with QBR's listed from best to worst
87.4, 76.7, 74.5, 58.0
Season to date QBR
Burrow 43.7 ranked 30th in NFL
Herbert 74.0 ranked 15th in NFL
The thing that most jumps out at me here is consistency.
Herbert has one mediocre game, and 3 excellent games.
Burrow has 2 horrible games, 2 mediocre games, and 1 excellent game.
At draft time, the word on Herbert was he had flashes of absurd brilliance, but was massively inconsistent.
Burrow was thought to be the NFL ready QB with a history of consistency.
I was one of those people who was worried about Herbert's inconsistency in college, I worried he would not be able to be consistent enough against the much better defenses that are in the NFL.
I was very wrong.
P.S.
Burrow is doing fine. Historically, rookies are inconsistent, have multiple horrible games, etc
The comparison with Herbert is almost unfair, as Herbert is putting up historically insane numbers for a rookie.
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