Draft Poll

Collapse
X
Collapse
First Prev Next Last
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • beachcomber
    & ramblin' man
    • Jan 2019
    • 4896
    • Send PM

    #61
    Originally posted by chaincrusher View Post

    Actually, I believe that it is more likely than not that Jordan Davis will not go in round 1 of this year's draft. So, not only is there not zero chance that Davis will not go in round 1, but the chance is actually greater than a 50% chance that Davis goes in round 2 or later (though I think he will go no later than early in round 3 at the very latest).

    The value of two-down DTs has greatly diminished over the past twenty years with the continued proliferation of the passing game in the NFL.

    Only 4 times in the past decade has a DT weighing over 330 pounds (combine weight) been taken in the first round. 3 of the 4, Danny Shelton, Vita Vea, and Dexter Lawrence were strong run defenders that had demonstrated some pass rush production in college, which Davis largely did not. The other, Dontari Poe, had a freakish combine performance (4.98 40, 44 bench press reps, 1.67 10 yard split (for reference, Joey Bosa's 10 yard split was 1.68) and played a huge percentage of his team's snaps in college. The other 3 all played a greater percentage of snaps than Davis did as well. All of those players were better draft candidates than Davis for one reason or another.

    IMO, you may be looking at mock drafts and big boards a little too much right now.

    Large DTs usually start higher in the public pre-draft takes and fall as the process continues. There is still a combine, pro days and about 2.75 months to go before the draft takes place. Players that test as superior athletes will creep up the publicly available draft boards/mock drafts while others fall. The QBs will get overhyped. It happens that way year after year.

    As for us, Telesco does not value interior DL players (3-4 DL players, including 3-4 DEs) in general, so getting him to pull the trigger on a player like Davis that lacks the production and stamina of other recent first round behemoth DTs is unlikely in the extreme. That seems to be a philosophy that he picked up from Bill Polian from his years in Indianapolis.. So, absent a radical departure by Telesco from his prior approach, we will not be taking Davis in round 1.

    It becomes more interesting if he is still on the board at pick #48.
    yeahp, likely we don't take him @17, as dude is more likely than not, off the board by then.... round three/day two is a hallucination,
    RT Taliese Fuaga, DT Jer'Zhan Newton, NT T'Vondre Sweat, LB Cedric Gray, TE Ben Sinnott, RB Daijun Edwards, FS Cole Bishop, QB Joe Milton

    Comment

    Working...
    X
    😀
    😂
    🥰
    😘
    🤢
    😎
    😞
    😡
    👍
    👎