Around the league: AFC West

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  • oneinchpunch
    Registered Charger Fan
    • Jun 2013
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    Around the league: AFC West

    Nfl.com:

    We previewed the AFC West on our latest "Around The League Podcast." Some big-picture thoughts are below. We've already previewed the AFC East, AFC North and AFC South.

    Losing Von Miller ... not that big a deal?

    All four of us pick the Denver Broncos to win the division. Two of us have Denver earning a playoff bye. That's what Miller's six-game suspension could be all about. The Broncos aren't just competing with the lackluster AFC West. They're competing with the New England Patriots, Houston Texans and other top-shelf AFC teams for playoff positioning.

    Still, two of Denver's six games during Miller's suspension are home games against Jacksonville and Oakland. Four of the six games are at home. This team should survive just fine, but there are real concerns that a sensational defense will fall back to the bottom this season. The defensive line is full of question marks, with middle linebacker a potential weak spot. Champ Bailey is 35 years old and might not be ready for Week 1.

    Chiefs in position to surprise

    Marc Sessler and I put Kansas City into the playoffs as the No. 6 seed. My case for the Chiefs:

    1. Andy Reid is underrated as an offensive mind. He creates yardage, and getting out of Philadelphia should be liberating to one of the NFL's better coaches.

    2. When looking for surprise teams, I always look to the schedule. The division schedule is easy, and the Chiefs face the AFC South out of division. There aren't many weeks where the Chiefs should get overwhelmed by opposing talent. Speaking of which ...

    3. The defense is dangerous. Justin Houston, Tamba Hali, Derrick Johnson, Eric Berry, Brandon Flowers and Sean Smith is a group you can build around.

    4. There needs to be new playoff blood every year, and I had too many other repeating teams. So there's that.

    Surprising lack of faith in the Chargers
    The Chargers are a decent bounce-back candidate for the same reasons as the Chiefs above. The schedule is favorable, and they have underrated defensive talent. I'm also not ready to declare Philip Rivers done as an effective starting quarterback.

    I thought someone would pick San Diego as a surprise team, but it went the other way. My 6-10 record for the Chargers was the best of the group. Wesseling had the Chargers in the Jadeveon Clowney race with just three wins. It's hard to imagine Rivers, Corey Liuget and Eric Weddle making that happen.

    Six wins would be a miracle in Oakland

    General manager Reggie McKenzie says the Raiders are far ahead of where they were one year ago. I want to believe in Dennis Allen as a quality head coach, but it's hard to see the talent on the roster. There are too many new starters and random free-agent pickups. The team's best player -- left tackle Jared Veldheer -- is out for a few months. Chris Wesseling and Marc Sessler made a bet: If the Raiders win six games this season, Wesseling must eat his own softball pants.

    If that happens, Allen deserves Coach of the Year consideration.
    Hashtag thepowderblues
  • oneinchpunch
    Registered Charger Fan
    • Jun 2013
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    #2
    NFL.com

    SAN DIEGO -- The San Diego Chargers last made the playoffs following a 13-3 campaign in 2009. Since then, the worst they've finished a season is 7-9, which happened in 2012.

    And yet, the three-year postseason drought feels like an epic collapse. Given the expectations, the big names on the roster, the talent at the quarterback position, San Diego's absence from January relevance seems staggeringly lengthy. It led to an offseason housecleaning.

    Gone are coach Norv Turner and general manager A.J. Smith. In came a slew of new, young, fresh faces roaming the halls, trying to bring what had been one of the NFL's oldest teams back into the mix.

    Here are five things I learned while spending Thursday with the Chargers:

    1. Philip Rivers has stronger support system on and off the field. Coinciding with San Diego's fall from grace is the same reality for quarterback Philip Rivers. With an offensive line crumbling around him and his team stubbing its toe amid lofty expectations, Rivers resorted back to being just pretty good. His quarterback rating and yards per game have been down, while his interceptions have been up. And yet, when I talked to offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt this past spring, he told me he believed Rivers could return to the Pro Bowl. Whisenhunt felt similar optimism Thursday, and he raved about the process. "When you have a guy that's been in the league as long as he has, there's a lot of knowledge there," Whisenhunt told me. "It helps you grow as a coach." Whisenhunt has been energized. Internally, the Chargers believe much of Rivers' downturn was related to a lack of protection, which explains the drafting of Alabama's D.J. Fluker in the first round. GM Tom Telesco said, "You can already see (Fluker) has leadership capabilities, and that'll continue to grow." All that should make Rivers more comfortable and efficient, as his confidence in his protection grows. But it's not just Whisenhunt. Mike McCoy, the head coach, was hired in part because of his quarterback prowess. And quarterbacks coach Frank Reich adds his expertise, too. The improved Rivers should benefit. "He's got three different guys to lean on," Telesco said. "When you're in the league for a long time, done things one way, sometimes a change is good. It can refocus. I think he's got a nice support system there with those three guys."

    2. Dwight Freeney will be on the field a lot. The Chargers acquired Dwight Freeney in the offeseason, paying him more than $4 million per year to be an impactful pass-rusher and a veteran who could pass along his knowledge to younger teammates. From my conversation with defensive coordinator John Pagano, San Diego likes what it sees from the 33-year-old. "It's been unbelievable. He's been unbelievable," Pagano told me. "How he comes to work, practice, his effort, his love and passion of the game. He's been a pro's pro. ... You can tell why he's been one of the best pass-rushers over the last 10 years." Pagano raved about Freeney's film study habits, how he'll revisit his work against an endless variety of looks. As far as how the Chargers will use him, Pagano said it won't be just as a pass-rush specialist. "He's going to be an every-down guy for us," Pagano said. "Need him on first, second, third down. He's going to play all downs. If you spot guys here and there, they never get into the defense. They never get the defense. They don't understand the whole process of the defensive calls. That's the mindset he has. Otherwise, you never learn the why. He is a why guy."

    3. Everything is new in San Diego. When you have a new coach, new general manager, new executives, a mostly new coaching staff and new players, there is a freshness to the building. That's what the Chargers have. A holdover from the old staff, Pagano said, "It feels like a brand new environment." Let's face it: Even with all the success the Chargers had in the past decade, it had grown stale. Enter Telesco, 40. Enter McCoy, a first-time head coach. Enter John Spanos, the 30-something executive VP of football operations, who cut his teeth both in contracts and for 10 years in scouting and personnel. And on the business side is 30-something brother A.G., the Chief Executive Officer. They represent the future for what had become an old franchise in many ways. If there ever was a place that needed fresh eyes to rebuild, this was it. How is the rebuilding going? It will take more than this year to re-stock the cupboard left underratedly bare. Still, as one executive said, they have a quarterback and that can accelerate things. Look at the Indianapolis Colts last year. Mass turnover on the roster and a quarterback led to the playoffs. That's the model. "Once the players that were here bought in, I think everybody else just fell into place and the practices have been great, crisp," Telesco said. "We're seeing progress. We know we got a little ways to go. We got two more weeks to work here before the regular season starts. We're probably a team that needs this preseason right now, see what everyone's role is going to be opening day." Helping matters is that the rookies have impressed, and not just Fluker and Manti Te'o (who Pagano says can be an every-down linebacker). It's the whole group. "The great thing is, there's been no surprises," Telesco said. "What we've seen in college, we've seen out here, which with all the work we do on this, it's not always the case."
    Hashtag thepowderblues

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    • Den60
      Registered Charger Fan
      • Jun 2013
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      #3
      You forgot to add this graphic:

      Predictions 2013 AFC West.jpg

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      • ArtistFormerlyKnownAsBKR
        Registered Charger Fan
        • Jun 2013
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        #4
        Nice to see many of the prognosticators are beginning to see where we really are. It's strange, though, that it took a training camp to figure that out. Could have seen it before Norv was fired.

        With a few breaks (positive ones not more knee injuries), I expect to see us in that 5-6 win range.

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