Chargers Path to the Playoffs: Their chances aren’t great

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  • HotOffTheWire
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    • Jun 2013
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    Chargers Path to the Playoffs: Their chances aren’t great

    The Chargers have two things working against their path to the playoffs this week: The Jaguars and the Titans. Hey, remember this post from yesterday? The one that promised that the Los Angeles Chargers had a “very real chance” of making the NFL Playoffs this year? I respectfully disagree, and I’m here to explain why.
    (Author’s Note: The numbers that I reference below, as far as the team’s chances of winning their game this week, are stolen straight from Cynthia Frelund and this week’s episode of the Game Theory and Money podcast.)
    Ignoring ties, which are absolute garbage and don’t happen enough to care about them, the Chargers need one of two things to happen on Sunday to keep playing:
    1) Chargers win, Titans lose, Ravens win
    2) Chargers win, Titans lose, Bills lose
    Now, LOOK CLOSER.
    1) Chargers win, Titans lose
    2) Chargers win, Titans lose
    While the Chargers have a 70.5% chance to win against the Oakland Raiders on Sunday, and are favored by 8 points at home, they do not control their own destiny.

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