Chance of making playoffs

[Formula 21]

Chargers need to win both games ( 1 chance in 4) and Balt or Pitt needs to lose 1 game (1 chance in 2?) without game odds added in.

So 1 chance in 8?

[Bolt-O]

The most straight forward scenario is this: Pittsburgh 11-5, Baltimore 11-5, SD 10-6

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine/_/factor/wins/results/400554425~2~400554427~1~400554356~1~400554413~2~400554441~1~400554434~1~400554449~2

Need Denver to beat Cincy, and Pittsburgh to to win out as well, beating KC and Cincy. Baltimore losing against Houston and/or Cleveland would help, but seem to me very unlikely.

[Boltimore]

The most straight forward scenario is this: Pittsburgh 11-5, Baltimore 11-5, SD 10-6

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine/_/factor/wins/results/400554425~2~400554427~1~400554356~1~400554413~2~400554441~1~400554434~1~400554449~2

Need Denver to beat Cincy, and Pittsburgh to to win out as well, beating KC and Cincy. Baltimore losing against Houston and/or Cleveland would help, but seem to me very unlikely.

What happens if Pittsburgh loses out and the Ravens lose one of those two?

[richpjr]

The Ravens and Steelers play each other the last game of the season. I guess we want the Steelers to win out and we can scratch for the last playoff spot but let's be real - this team isn't doing jack even if we luck into the playoffs.

[blahblahblah]

Low but not that low.

[Stinky Wizzleteats+]

We could luck out and get Cini!

[Bolt-O]

The Ravens and Steelers play each other the last game of the season. I guess we want the Steelers to win out and we can scratch for the last playoff spot but let's be real - this team isn't doing jack even if we luck into the playoffs.

Cincy and Steelers play in the last game.

[Bolt-O]

What happens if Pittsburgh loses out and the Ravens lose one of those two?

I ran that, and the Chargers would be in at 10-6.

[richpjr]

Cincy and Steelers play in the last game.

You are correct - they were talking in the post game show how the Steelers and Ravens play in the last game, but that is obviously wrong.

[Bolt-O]

Here is one scenario where the Chargers and Chiefs both get in at 9-7

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine/_/factor/wins/results/400554425~2~400554427~1~400554356~1~400554413~2~400554441~2~400554434~2~400554449~2~400554398~1~400554405~2~400554447~2~400554446~1~400554411~1~400554443~2~400554404~1~400554406~2~400554402~1~400554361~1~400554412~2~400554435~2

[captaind]

let's be real - this team isn't doing jack even if we luck into the playoffs.

this.

[Bolt-O]

"They" said that last year too. Some chance is better than no chance.