First, you always need a large sample size to see how anything pans out statistically. How do you know that it is not just your perception (and perceptions are often flawed)? I understand the snapshot thing, but the nature of statistics is that the thing you are looking at is not evenly distributed through the season. You need a lot of samples to see how it works out long term.
The other issue is why is it just about kickoffs? Is field position after a punt really any different? It's about field position, plain and simple.
And looking back historically, you have a much greater chance of scoring yourself (and therefore preventing a score) if the other team starts on the other side of the 20 yard line. A few yard allowed over the 20 doesn't really change their chance of score much. I don't understand how you think that isn't true?
The other issue is why is it just about kickoffs? Is field position after a punt really any different? It's about field position, plain and simple.
And looking back historically, you have a much greater chance of scoring yourself (and therefore preventing a score) if the other team starts on the other side of the 20 yard line. A few yard allowed over the 20 doesn't really change their chance of score much. I don't understand how you think that isn't true?
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