GAME DAY THREAD START: https://www.thepowderblues.com/forum...52#post2137652
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Last night, I was messing around with the ESPN Playoff Machine + using betting money line probabilities. This is what I came up with the seed likelihood.
It's kinda wild that the Jags can still be a #1 seed...or a #7 seed.
There may be some mathematical and rounding errors. May have missed a scenario or two, too.
Likeliest seed outcomes are in RED
LAC
5 seed – 4%
6 seed – 31%
7 seed – 65%
BUF
5 seed – 12%
6 seed – 56%
7 seed – 32%
HOU
3 seed – 13%
5 seed – 71%
6 seed – 13%
7 seed – 3%
JAX
1 seed – 3%
2 seed – 11%
3 seed – 70%
5 seed– 2%
6 seed – 13%
7 seed – 1%
NE
1 seed – 19%
2 seed – 65%
3 seed – 16%
DEN
1 seed – 81%
2 seed – 3%
3 seed – 16%
BAL
4 seed – 60%
OUT – 40%
PIT
4 seed – 40%
OUT – 60%
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Last night, I was messing around with the ESPN Playoff Machine + using betting money line probabilities. This is what I came up with the seed likelihood.
It's kinda wild that the Jags can still be a #1 seed...or a #7 seed.
There may be some mathematical and rounding errors. May have missed a scenario or two, too.
Likeliest seed outcomes are in RED
LAC
5 seed – 4%
6 seed – 31%
7 seed – 65%
BUF
5 seed – 12%
6 seed – 56%
7 seed – 32%
HOU
3 seed – 13%
5 seed – 71%
6 seed – 13%
7 seed – 3%
JAX
1 seed – 3%
2 seed – 11%
3 seed – 70%
5 seed– 2%
6 seed – 13%
7 seed – 1%
NE
1 seed – 19%
2 seed – 65%
3 seed – 16%
DEN
1 seed – 81%
2 seed – 3%
3 seed – 16%
BAL
4 seed – 60%
OUT – 40%
PIT
4 seed – 40%
OUT – 60%
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