Colts are 13-3 in last 16, have beat the 49ers and Seahawks in consecutive weeks this season. They are a top tier AFC team with Denver, New England and KC. My brain says 34-21 Colts but my heart says 31-28 Chargers.
Friday Predictions Thread!
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Dave Tuley says: "I'm not willing to give up on the Chargers yet. Yes, the loss at Oakland was disappointing (though I only had them in contests as the favorite), but they're still 3-1-1 ATS and they're 2-0 ATS at home. Their win over the Cowboys looks better after the latter's 51-48 loss to the Broncos. Their No. 5-ranked offense should come with their best effort at home and before the national TV audience on the "Monday Night" stage."
ATS pick: Chargers
Wunderdog says: "This is a tough one. Indianapolis is the better team, and the oddsmakers agree by making them a small road favorite, but the Chargers can win this game. The Colts have been one of the nicer surprises this season. Yes, they won 11 games last season, but that seemed a bit fluky given that they were outscored and outgained on the season. I, for one, thought they would fall back down to earth this season, but that hasn't been the case. They are scoring 28 points per game and winning by double-digits on average. The Colts have defeated some good teams in San Francisco and Seattle.
"But right now, Rivers is playing so well that it's hard to go against that. Through five weeks, no quarterback not named Peyton Manning is playing better than Rivers. Also, San Diego is coming off an embarrassing upset loss to Oakland so I expect them to be on their game this week. In the Luck era, the Colts are 8-1 SU and ATS versus losing teams. But, this is a road game in a hostile environment against a team with a quarterback who is playing at an extremely high level and that is desperate to get to .500. I'm going to pass."
ATS pick: Pass
Sal Selvaggio says: "San Diego looks like a pretty good play this week. I made the game San Diego minus-1.5 so there is a tick of line value but situationally Indianapolis qualifies in some very negative angles for this game, which are based on last week's win over Seattle. While it is impressive that the Colts took down the second-best team in the league last week, let's not forget that Seattle was in a terrible spot playing back-to-back road games in early starts for a West Coast team. The Colts were outgained 6.3 yards per play to 5.5 YPPL, and by over 100 total yards, so they very well could have lost that game.
"San Diego has been undervalued all season long, and last week's result is also a little bit deceiving as the Chargers did outgain the Raiders by over 120 total yards but a minus-5 turnover margin did them in. For the season they are minus-8 in turnover margin and they also qualify in my turnover table, which historically wins every year. All in all San Diego is good a bet Monday night, as well as the over, as I made this total a little higher."
ATS pick: Chargers
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