Originally posted by Formula 21
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AFC Playoff Picture at three-quarter mark - 2018
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Originally posted by chargerkdb View Post
Assuming we win out and Texas and NE win out we would be 2 seed. Same record, same conference record, NE beats Texas in head to head and NE just nips us in common opponents. Both Texas and NE lost to Tennessee but NE beat KC and best we could do is split with them. KC has 2 more losses in them, Us and Seattle
I'm not sure if messing around with other games that I just had all home teams winning would affect that due to common games or not, however.
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Originally posted by Bolt-O View PostIt's getting close to where we need to run those simulations on ole playoff machine.
http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine
KC's hardest games ahead are Ravens in KC (Which I suspect theyll probably win) and Seattle in Seattle (which could be a good game!)
The Ravens vs KC would probably be the ideal win for us. Since Pitt has a couple tough games upcoming in the Saints and Pat's.. The Ravens winning that game probably gives them the edge in their division.
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Originally posted by HollywoodLeo View Post
According to the playoff generator, all 3 teams at 13-3 (and KC at 12-4) results in Houston with the #1 seed, NE with the #2 seed, and LAC with the #3 seed
I'm not sure if messing around with other games that I just had all home teams winning would affect that due to common games or not, however.
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Originally posted by chargerkdb View Post
Well, assuming all 3 finish 13-3 then the first tiebreaker is record which is same. so the second tiebreaker is head to head and NE beat Houston. If we all win out no way for Houston to be 1st seed. All three teams have 2 losses in AFC. NE would have better record against common opponents over us and beat Houston head to head. If all three win out NE would be #1 seed
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- Apply division tie breaker to eliminate all but the highest ranked club in each division prior to proceeding to step 2. The original seeding within a division upon application of the division tie breaker remains the same for all subsequent applications of the procedure that are necessary to identify the two Wild-Card participants.
- Head-to-head sweep. (Applicable only if one club has defeated each of the others or if one club has lost to each of the others.)
- Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
- Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
- Strength of victory.
- Strength of schedule.
- Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
- Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
- Best net points in conference games.
- Best net points in all games.
- Best net touchdowns in all games.
- Coin toss
They'd have equal conference records if they all win out and I don't think they have the minimum of 4 common opponents (Buffalo is the only team all 3 played)
It'd probably come down to strength of victory, which means it could probably deviate depending on other games but it basically comes down to the teams that all 3 teams have beat. Houston probably has the strongest of that.
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