PFF Postseason Analysis

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  • ArtistFormerlyKnownAsBKR
    Registered Charger Fan
    • Jun 2013
    • 7310
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    PFF Postseason Analysis

    This is pretty interesting. I don't agree with some of the particulars on player analysis (I think it's too harsh on Clary, don't get how Floyd isn't seen as an injury risk, don't see how Ingram isn't seen as ascending, don't see why Addae isn't there, don't see a healthy Johnson isn't a light green, don't see Gachkar as an unknown), but it's an interesting look at where they perceive the team to be and what could be forthcoming in the offseason.

    Projected Lineups: San Diego Chargers
    Rick Drummond | February 19, 2014




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    The third team from the AFC West to qualify for the 2013 playoffs, the Chargers slipped in with an overtime win in Week 17 against a Chiefs team resting many of their starters. That fortunate entry set the stage for a well-earned first round victory in Cincinnati a week later but San Diego would be bumped in the divisional round by the AFC Champs-to-be Broncos.

    The late-season push that got them in position for the splash at the end was an encouraging sign for a team that showed promise but wavered to a 4-6 start. First-year Head Coach Mike McCoy and new Offensive Coordinator Ken Wisenhunt helped breathe life back into the Charger lineup that had appeared to be running on empty prior to their arrival.

    With Philip Rivers rejuvenated, a flashy rookie receiver fitting in, and solutions found at both ends of the O-line, there should be more good to come. The defense, on the other hand is littered with holes and in serious need of attention this offseason. Here’s a look at the current state of the Chargers’ lineup with UFAs removed:



    Key:
    - Player markers are colored per class on a six-step ‘Poor’ to ‘High Quality’ scale based on their overall performance and the league’s elite are marked separately in blue.
    - Colored outlines suggest a potential change in class.
    - Underlined players will be 30+ years old for the 2014 season.
    - Red player names suggest injury risks.
    - Click on the image to enlarge.



    Roster Notes

    - That lone blue square in the back of the defense stands out as much on this chart as it does when watching the Chargers play. Weddle is a superior piece that could anchor any D, but help is needed at all three levels around him and the secondary, in particular, could use some upgrades.

    - With just a hint of green given to Corey Liuget, the front-seven is short any kind of impact presence. Manti Te’o’s lacking effort as a rookie run defender was paired with free agent Donald Butler’s inconsistent red-across-the-board play and after losing Dwight Freeney just 173 snaps into the year, the outside offered nothing of a pass rush. In front of them, any positives Liuget showed were washed by the heaping negatives contributed by Kendall Reyes on the other side.

    - The additons of King Dunlap and D.J. Fluker have to give hope that this O-line has come to firmer ground. There are still issues to deal with, most notably Jeromey Clary’s spot at right guard, but having the edges cemented in is a huge step in the right direction.

    - If — a big ‘if’ — Malcom Floyd is able to return from his neck injury to take position opposite the remarkable rookie Allen, the receiving corps could be rounded out. With the clock ticking for still-effective Antonio Gates and youngster Ladarius Green readying for an increased role, Rivers’ set of weapons could hit a sweet spot where all are clicking before the next transition.

    2014 Cap Situation

    This is where things get sticky. With so much work to be done in shoring up the defense, some of it will have to be from bringing in free agent talent – it would be a lot to ask to solve so many problems so quickly via the draft. San Diego is currently over the cap by $800k (per, appropriately, overthecap.com) and will have to do some trimming to create room for luring upgrades.

    Potential Casualties

    The balance to their cap space worry is the potential to gain back large chunks through a few sensible releases. Getting back to Clary, the $4.5M in cap savings he represents when compared to his 79th-ranked (of 81 qualifying guards) -19.8 run-blocking grade in 2013 makes it a fairly simple call – the only larger savings on the roster would come from letting either Rivers or Weddle go. There are others, though, as Eddie Royal, Nick Hardwick, Freeney, Gates, Jarrett Johnson, and Le’Ron McClain could each offer $2M+ of relief (Royal and Hardwick $4M+). Some combination of cuts and/or restructures from that group would create the space needed.

    Opportunities from the Roster

    Nose tackle Kwame Geathers showed some promise in 87 preseason snaps and might end up with a shot at assuming the anchor position with Cam Thomas a free agent. Mentioned before, but it’s tough not to be intrigued by what Ladarius Green could bring to the table as the heir apparent at tight end. A huge increase in snaps in the second half of 2013 still saw him spending the majority of his time blocking, but he could wind up as the seam threat easing the load on the future Hall of Famer ahead of him on the depth chart. Undrafted rookie safety Jahleel Addae finished with over 500 snaps logged in 2013 including a five-game run at the end (Week 15 through the playoffs) where he averaged 55 per game and posted an overall grade of +6.1 (+4.5 in coverage). Should he blossom into a legit option to pair with Weddle, one defensive worry may be erased with an in-house answer.
    Last edited by ArtistFormerlyKnownAsBKR; 02-19-2014, 10:03 AM.
  • Steve
    Administrator
    • Jun 2013
    • 6845
    • South Carolina
    • Meteorologist
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    #2
    One of the things that still bugs me is this approach that PFF takes, it assumes that we will continue to struggle, and that we have made no progress. I don't necessarily think that some of their grades are off as much as they don't tell the whole story. Sheerce Wright was really bad early on and was pretty good late in the season. But since he was so bad early, he would have to be the best CB in football to cancel out the bad. But what I am looking for in a young player is a guy who can just manage to come out and play consistently, which is what happened to a lot of our defensive players last year. They weren't amazing late in the year, but as a group we were pretty solid.

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    • Formula 21
      The Future is Now
      • Jun 2013
      • 16426
      • Republic of San Diego
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      #3
      Rivers gets no respect.
      Now, if you excuse me, I have some Charger memories to suppress.
      The Wasted Decade is done.
      Build Back Better.

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      • ArtistFormerlyKnownAsBKR
        Registered Charger Fan
        • Jun 2013
        • 7310
        • Send PM

        #4
        Originally posted by Steve View Post
        One of the things that still bugs me is this approach that PFF takes, it assumes that we will continue to struggle, and that we have made no progress. I don't necessarily think that some of their grades are off as much as they don't tell the whole story. Sheerce Wright was really bad early on and was pretty good late in the season. But since he was so bad early, he would have to be the best CB in football to cancel out the bad. But what I am looking for in a young player is a guy who can just manage to come out and play consistently, which is what happened to a lot of our defensive players last year. They weren't amazing late in the year, but as a group we were pretty solid.
        I think that's fair. But saying Gachkar is an unknown suggests they aren't paying enough attention. I think we pretty much know what he is. I think it's also odd to see Crezdon on there and no Addae.

        I don't place a lot of emphasis on their attempts at ranking players for all the reasons we have discussed. It's also an inherently uneven methodology apparently. If the ratings were accurate, would Weddle really be classified as elite based on the year he had this year? We know WHY he had a lesser season but if we're going by objective numbers then apply them uniformly. On what basis does Floyd get his rating? That's more rep than his performance across a game and a half, with the half being against an extremely pliable Eagles D in the second game of its first season under Kelly. So yeah, it's contextually barren.

        I could quibble over a green vs blue grade for Rivers. As one of the commenters points out, Rivers was the second rated passer by PFF. But he only gets a green here. So that means Manning is the only blue QB. Really? Generally, I don't really care about that stuff when it comes to QBs. It's all a bunch of politics and weak analytical models...."won SB" carries more weight than actual on field performance in those discussions. Flacco, Eli and Ben make it. Rivers doesn't. Silly.

        So I posted it not as a statement of fact by PFF, more as an example of what others think of our guys. I did feel that they generally get the notes on implications for the offseason right. So thats worth noting.
        Last edited by ArtistFormerlyKnownAsBKR; 02-19-2014, 12:19 PM.

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