2014 Power Rankings

[MakoShark]

The OL isn't playing very well. The fact that the LT has been the best is a blessing.

Biggest disappointment so far is Fluker

That might be because his expectations are so high. He had a couple of bad penalties early on Sunday, but overall I thought he handled Mario Williams fairly well. It was the interior guys that were getting pushed around.

[Panamamike]

FWIW we have played three of the better DL in the league.

[thelightningwill]

FWIW we have played three of the better DL in the league.

We're trying to keep that on the DL - downlow.

Or

We have one of the better DLs - disabled lists.

Or.

I doubt I'll get hired for Top 10 on DL - David Letterman.

But, yes, we've run up against some of the best defensive lines. Not knowing a lot about Jacksonville's defensive front, but knowing the Jackfarts haven't won many games in recent years, I think our runners and offensive line will look better this Sunday.

[thunderclap]

Some nice love for McCoy here: http://sports.yahoo.com/news/san-die...160003080.html

[Stinky Wizzleteats+]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/introducing-nfl-elo-ratings/

Forget power rankings check out elo rankings instead!

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/introducing-nfl-elo-ratings/

The first link explains the formula, the second is the rankings for week 5.

[Bolt-O]

I'll post the table on Thursday... most seen at #5.

[Panama]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/i...l-elo-ratings/

Forget power rankings check out elo rankings instead!

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/introducing-nfl-elo-ratings/

The first link explains the formula, the second is the rankings for week 5.

Here's the correct link to the rankings: http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/n...-playoff-odds/

[TABF]

Here's the correct link to the rankings: http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/n...-playoff-odds/

Correct link logo:

[sandiego17]

LAS VEGAS -- The top four teams remained in those spots of the NFL Vegas Rankings, as Seattle, Denver and Arizona were all on bye weeks, and San Diego took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, the league's worst team.

However, there was plenty of shuffling around after that, beginning with New England and New Orleans dropping and the teams that beat them (Kansas City and Dallas, respectively) moving up.

The NFL Vegas Rankings are compiled using the personal power ratings of our panel of ESPN Insider handicappers -- Sal Selvaggio of madduxsports.com, Erin Rynning of sportsmemo.com and yours truly, Dave Tuley -- and are used to compare to the current point spread (they then need to be adjusted for home-field advantage). The industry standard is 2.5 points for home field, but teams such as Green Bay, New England and San Francisco are typically given a full field goal, while Denver and New Orleans are closer to 3.5. Seattle is given the biggest home-field advantage in the league (about 4 to 4.5 points).

Below is a look at the power ratings for all 32 NFL teams, along with Week 5 games where there appears to be value in the current lines. Again, these are not my personal plays or that of any of the other handicappers, but rather the group as a whole. I'll post my thoughts in the "Tuley's Take" column Friday.

NFL Vegas Rankings

1 (tie). Seattle Seahawks (Power rating: 26.5)
The defending Super Bowl champs are off to a strong start at 2-1 SU and ATS with big wins over Green Bay and Denver and only a road loss at San Diego.
Previous rating: 26.5



1 (tie). Denver Broncos (26.5)
The Broncos are 0-3 ATS -- and some believe they should have dropped -- but they've maintained a high rating in an OT road loss against the Seahawks.
Previous rating: 26.5

3 (tie). Cincinnati Bengals (24)
The Bengals are 3-0 SU and ATS and are the most consistent team so far, but they're still a notch below the top two teams.
Previous rating: 24

3 (tie). San Diego Chargers (24)
The Chargers covered as 12.5-point favorites in a 33-14 win over Jaguars, but their power rating stays the same off their so-so performance.
Previous rating: 24

5. Green Bay Packers (23.5)
After dropping in earlier weeks, the Packers move up half a point after a convincing 38-17 win at Chicago as 2-point road favorites.
Previous rating: 23

6 (tie). Arizona Cardinals (23)
The undefeated Cardinals were idle, so their power rating stays the same, but they move up due to the Pats and Saints moving down.
Previous rating: 23

6 (tie). San Francisco 49ers (23)
The 49ers move up along with the Cardinals, but the power rating stays the same after a narrow cover in the 26-21 win over the Eagles as 4-point favorites.
Previous rating: 23

8 (tie). New England Patriots (22.5)
The Patriots' 41-14 loss as 3-point road favorites at Kansas City on Monday night drops their rating a full point.
Previous rating: 23.5

8 (tie). New Orleans Saints (22.5)
The Saints continue to underperform and drop a full point after failing as 3-point road favorites in a 38-17 loss at Dallas.
Previous rating: 23.5

10 (tie). Philadelphia Eagles (21.5)
The Eagles kept their same power rating after their 26-21 loss at San Francisco as 4-point road underdogs.
Previous rating: 21.5

10 (tie). Indianapolis Colts (21.5)
The Colts have routed the Jaguars and Titans in back-to-back weeks to get back to 2-2 SU, but they're 3-1 ATS and improve half a point in our ratings.
Previous rating: 21

12. Baltimore Ravens (20.5)
The Ravens move up half a point after their impressive 38-18 rout of the Panthers as 3-point home favorites.
Previous rating: 20

13 (tie). Carolina Panthers (20.0)
The Panthers drop half a point for the second week in a row after their 38-18 loss at Baltimore as 3-point dogs.
Previous rating: 20.5

13 (tie). Atlanta Falcons (20)
After moving up a full point last week, the Falcons drop half a point after losing 41-28 at Minnesota as 5.5-point road favorites.
Previous rating: 20.5

13 (tie). Chicago Bears (20)
The Bears lost 38-17 to the Packers as 2-point home underdogs, but it wasn't enough to drop them in our pollsters' ratings.
Previous rating: 20

13 (tie). Detroit Lions (20)
The Lions held off the Jets to win 24-17 after closing as 1.5-point road underdogs, but their power rating remains the same.
Previous rating: 20

13 (tie). Dallas Cowboys (20)
The Cowboys continued to move up the rankings (and their power rating increased a full point) after their 38-17 upset of the Saints as 3-point home underdogs.
Previous rating: 19

18. Houston Texans (19.5)
The Texans grinded out a 23-17 win over the Bills to cover as the 3-point home favorite, but it wasn't enough to improve their power rating.
Previous rating: 19.5

19 (tie). Pittsburgh Steelers (19)
The Steelers drop half a point after losing outright 27-24 as 7-point home favorites against the Buccaneers.
Previous rating: 19.5

19 (tie). Kansas City Chiefs (19)
The Chiefs saw their power rating increase for the second straight week with their 41-14 rout of the Patriots on Monday night as 3-point home underdogs.
Previous rating: 18.5

21 (tie). Buffalo Bills (18.5)
The Bills' power rating stays the same after the 23-17 loss to the Texans as 3-point underdogs and with quarterback EJ Manuel being replaced by Kyle Orton.
Previous rating: 18.5

21 (tie). Miami Dolphins (18.5)
After dropping 1.5 points for their loss to the Chiefs, the Dolphins improved half a point with their 38-14 rout of the Raiders in London as 4-point favorites.
Previous rating: 18

21 (tie). New York Giants (18.5)
The Giants improve a full point for the second straight week after a 45-14 upset of the Redskins as 3-point road underdogs Thursday night.
Previous rating: 17.5

24. New York Jets (18)
The Jets dropped half a point after a 24-17 loss to the Lions as 1.5-point home favorites, their second straight loss as short home favorites versus a NFC North foe.
Previous rating: 18.5

25. Washington Redskins (17.5)
The Redskins dropped 1.5 points after their 45-14 loss to the Giants last Thursday as 3-point home favorites.
Previous rating: 19

26 (tie). Tennessee Titans (17)
The Titans drop half a point for the second straight week after their 41-17 loss to the Colts as 7-point road underdogs.
Previous rating: 17.5

26 (tie). Cleveland Browns (17)
The Browns' power rating stays the same during their bye week; they're 1-2 SU but 2-1 ATS.
Previous rating: 17

26 (tie). Minnesota Vikings (17)
The Vikings improved half a point after a 41-28 win over the Falcons as 5.5-point home underdogs.
Previous rating: 16.5

29. St. Louis Rams (15.5)
The Rams' power rating stays the same during their bye week; they're 1-2 SU and ATS while shuffling in backup quarterbacks.
Previous rating: 15.5

30. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (14.5)
After plummeting with an 0-3 start, the Bucs improve 1.5 points with their 27-24 upset of the Steelers as 7-point road underdogs.
Previous rating: 13

31. Oakland Raiders (13)
The Raiders' rating was low but dropped a full point with their 38-14 loss to the Dolphins in London and the firing of their coach.
Previous rating: 14

32. Jacksonville Jaguars (12.5)
The Jaguars lost 33-14 to the Chargers as 12.5-point road underdogs, but it wasn't enough to drop their power rating further.
Previous rating: 12.5

[Wheels]

Colin Cowherd had the Chargers ranked #3 in his ranking. It went like this:
1) Seahawks
2) Bengals
3) Chargers
4) Broncos
5) Cowboys

[blueman]

Coulda sworn we ripped the Seahawks a new one.

[ArtistFormerlyKnownAsBKR]

Coulda sworn we ripped the Seahawks a new one.

Well only if you take Harvin's TD off the board.

/chasm