Originally posted by bonehead
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The other thing you have to seperate as guys like Kiper and McShay, whose job it is to evaluate and mimic drat boards, and GM's whose job it is to find players. Kiper and McShay get a lot of points for guessing where players go. But if those same players are busts, Kiper and McShay don't seem to have any points taken off, while the GM's get fired.
The last thing to think about is what is the point of the draft. Guys like Ramsey, Buckner, and Tunsil seem to be getting really high marks because of their athleticism. And I don't think you can argue those points. But in the end, how many top draft picks end up being busts, largely because they are all those great athletes but never learn to become players. Then guys like JJ Watt, who was not even considered a top 10 pick is easily the best defensive player taken in the last 15 years (and it isn't even close). I can give Denver a pass for skipping Watt for Von Miller, but how about every other team? The point is that being the best athlete and the best in the draft process is only losely related to being the best player.
WE want the guy who is the best or will be the best player. Bosa fits need best at the top of the draft (setting the edge and playing the outside/offtackle run and adds pass rush), Conklin is the best OL in the draft, but we can probably trade down to get him, and the biggest need is at C or OG, and the best fit for that is probably with Kelly or Martin, but those can be had much later in the draft.
Again, go back and look at historical NFL drafts, there are plenty of really high picks all the draft guys (and NFL teams) loved as top 5, top 10 picks who did nothing, and middle 1st round guys in the hall of fame. Just cause the draft guys love them doesn't mean I have to like the same guys. I think they tend to fall in love with the measureables and things that you can easily see on tape, and I don't think those are the only things that make draft prospects great players.
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