Originally posted by wu-dai clan
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2024 Chargers Draft Superthread - Prospect Discussion - Draft Has Started
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Originally posted by eaterfan View Post
You were talking about health of Charges draft picks, not success rates.
But if we are doing just overall risk, there is some survivor bias in there. The non premium positions have a higher hit rate because you have to be an Uber prospect to be taken there. Example, a team may take a WR with a second round grade in the mid to late 1st if they have big upside like Johnston because if you hit the reward is a cheap great player at an impact position. A team isn't taking an OG or DT in the mid to late first if they don't have a 1st round grade on them.
It's not a meaningless stat, if you are deciding between a guy at a premium position you have a lower grade on vs a higher grade at a less risky position, maybe that's a good route breaker. But when you're looking at a higher graded player at a premium position then I think the team should go in that direction.
IMO the top 3 WRs are 3 of the 4 highest graded players in this class. Bowers is also graded highly, but TE isn't a premium position and is risky in the first round.
Which Positions Are the Safest, Riskiest at the Top of the NFL Draft? | News, Scores, Highlights, Stats, and Rumors | Bleacher Report
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Originally posted by powderblueboy
IOL, DT, LB in the recent past are positions that have been devalued - so you don't get a lot of reaches for players from these positions in the 1rst.
You have to be an absolute stud to generally be drafted that high: Zion Johnson being the exception.
FTR, I was against picking Zion there because of the positional value. He has had a decent first two seasons, but the Chargers could have gotten that level of play from a FA without breaking the bank. He needed to be better than he is. I had him graded higher than how he has played, but he needed to hit his eval to be a good pick.
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Originally posted by wu-dai clan View PostLeaving no stone unturned, here is the unspeakable.
Should we draft Alt @ #5
To play OLT ?
Then trade Rashawn for medium, high draft picks.
We would stave off for a handful of years the need to pay an expensive franchise OLT contract.
Having Alt during Slater's 2nd contract negotiation is a valuable thing in itself.
Having both on the roster for the next 5 years allows to see if this new-fangled philosophy of "Protect the QB and Run the ball" works out.Protect the QB
Run the ball
Play great defense
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Originally posted by wu-dai clan View Post
We will still be debating the 2024 Draft years from now.
And rightfully so.
I will embrace whoever we end up with.
The Chargers are at a fateful fork in the road.
This has the potential to be a franchise direction changing draft. This draft provides the foundation of our future SB run. Hortiz, show us what you got.Now, if you excuse me, I have some Charger memories to suppress.
Let’s win one for Mack.
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Originally posted by Cdn Bolt View Post
WR is one of the more risky postions to draft in Rnd 1. per this article LB , OL, DT and IOL are the most successful.
Assessing First-Round NFL Draft Picks By Approximate Value | The 33rd Team
image.pngNow, if you excuse me, I have some Charger memories to suppress.
Let’s win one for Mack.
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Originally posted by ChargerTrader View Post
Fuaga at #11 just makes so much senseWe play modern Harball.
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Originally posted by Formula 21 View Post
I’m hoping we’re celebrating the 2024 draft years from now.
This has the potential to be a franchise direction changing draft. This draft provides the foundation of our future SB run. Hortiz, show us what you got.We play modern Harball.
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Originally posted by Formula 21 View Post
Nice find. LB is so valuable because it includes Edge (OLB). So it’s a little misleading.
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Originally posted by wu-dai clan View PostLeaving no stone unturned, here is the unspeakable.
Should we draft Alt @ #5
To play OLT ?
Then trade Rashawn for medium, high draft picks.
We would stave off for a handful of years the need to pay an expensive franchise OLT contract.Now, if you excuse me, I have some Charger memories to suppress.
Let’s win one for Mack.
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