2024 Chargers Draft Superthread - Prospect Discussion - Draft Has Started

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  • ChargerTrader
    Registered Charger Fan
    • Sep 2018
    • 207
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    Originally posted by wu-dai clan View Post
    I am fearlessly mocking him to us @ #5, Nutty.
    beach was all over it early.
    Perfect fit.
    Natural position is ORT.
    Team Interviews are off the charts.
    This guy lives the game of football.
    Fuaga at #11 just makes so much sense
    At least one Superbowl in my lifetime

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    • Cdn Bolt
      Registered Charger Fan
      • Jan 2019
      • 718
      • Ontario , Canada
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      Originally posted by eaterfan View Post

      You were talking about health of Charges draft picks, not success rates.

      But if we are doing just overall risk, there is some survivor bias in there. The non premium positions have a higher hit rate because you have to be an Uber prospect to be taken there. Example, a team may take a WR with a second round grade in the mid to late 1st if they have big upside like Johnston because if you hit the reward is a cheap great player at an impact position. A team isn't taking an OG or DT in the mid to late first if they don't have a 1st round grade on them.

      It's not a meaningless stat, if you are deciding between a guy at a premium position you have a lower grade on vs a higher grade at a less risky position, maybe that's a good route breaker. But when you're looking at a higher graded player at a premium position then I think the team should go in that direction.

      IMO the top 3 WRs are 3 of the 4 highest graded players in this class. Bowers is also graded highly, but TE isn't a premium position and is risky in the first round.
      Health and success rate are related. I have read other articles along the same lines. Wr is just generally a riskier position w rnd 1 picks. Another article w bust rate over 25 yrs


      Which Positions Are the Safest, Riskiest at the Top of the NFL Draft? | News, Scores, Highlights, Stats, and Rumors | Bleacher Report

      image.png
      Attached Files

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      • eaterfan
        Registered Charger Fan
        • Oct 2020
        • 677
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        Originally posted by powderblueboy

        IOL, DT, LB in the recent past are positions that have been devalued - so you don't get a lot of reaches for players from these positions in the 1rst.

        You have to be an absolute stud to generally be drafted that high: Zion Johnson being the exception.
        Very true! I think Zion was a very good prospect, but not at a generational type level. That was a really rough draft because the Chargers were just past the line where the talent dropped off and no QBs were forced up the board. I do have hope for Zion because of how good a prospect he was. Maybe the bye scheme will help him out.

        FTR, I was against picking Zion there because of the positional value. He has had a decent first two seasons, but the Chargers could have gotten that level of play from a FA without breaking the bank. He needed to be better than he is. I had him graded higher than how he has played, but he needed to hit his eval to be a good pick.

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        • Boltnut
          Registered Charger Fan
          • Feb 2019
          • 7474
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          So RT Fuaga and LB Edgerrin Cooper might be a safe bet...?
          Protect the QB
          Run the ball
          Play great defense

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          • Boltnut
            Registered Charger Fan
            • Feb 2019
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            Originally posted by wu-dai clan View Post
            Leaving no stone unturned, here is the unspeakable.

            Should we draft Alt @ #5
            To play OLT ?

            Then trade Rashawn for medium, high draft picks.

            We would stave off for a handful of years the need to pay an expensive franchise OLT contract.
            I would love to have both Alt and Slater for the next 5 years.
            Having Alt during Slater's 2nd contract negotiation is a valuable thing in itself.
            Having both on the roster for the next 5 years allows to see if this new-fangled philosophy of "Protect the QB and Run the ball" works out.
            Protect the QB
            Run the ball
            Play great defense

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            • Formula 21
              The Future is Now
              • Jun 2013
              • 18272
              • Republic of San Diego
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              Originally posted by wu-dai clan View Post

              We will still be debating the 2024 Draft years from now.
              And rightfully so.
              I will embrace whoever we end up with.
              The Chargers are at a fateful fork in the road.
              I’m hoping we’re celebrating the 2024 draft years from now.

              This has the potential to be a franchise direction changing draft. This draft provides the foundation of our future SB run. Hortiz, show us what you got.
              Now, if you excuse me, I have some Charger memories to suppress.
              Let’s win one for Mack.

              Comment

              • Formula 21
                The Future is Now
                • Jun 2013
                • 18272
                • Republic of San Diego
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                Originally posted by Cdn Bolt View Post

                WR is one of the more risky postions to draft in Rnd 1. per this article LB , OL, DT and IOL are the most successful.

                Assessing First-Round NFL Draft Picks By Approximate Value | The 33rd Team

                image.png
                Nice find. LB is so valuable because it includes Edge (OLB). So it’s a little misleading.
                Now, if you excuse me, I have some Charger memories to suppress.
                Let’s win one for Mack.

                Comment

                • wu-dai clan
                  Smooth Operation
                  • May 2017
                  • 15946
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                  Originally posted by ChargerTrader View Post

                  Fuaga at #11 just makes so much sense
                  This is the trade I clamor for. MHJ as the new DHop for Kyler makes absolutely perfect sense too, kicking it all in. Oops along with NE just taking a QB like they should.
                  We play modern Harball.

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                  • wu-dai clan
                    Smooth Operation
                    • May 2017
                    • 15946
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                    Originally posted by Formula 21 View Post

                    I’m hoping we’re celebrating the 2024 draft years from now.

                    This has the potential to be a franchise direction changing draft. This draft provides the foundation of our future SB run. Hortiz, show us what you got.
                    I must not watch any more Nabors, MHJ Bowers or Turner tape. Damn.
                    We play modern Harball.

                    Comment

                    • eaterfan
                      Registered Charger Fan
                      • Oct 2020
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                      Originally posted by Formula 21 View Post

                      Nice find. LB is so valuable because it includes Edge (OLB). So it’s a little misleading.
                      Thanks for sharing that. I was shocked, because LB is usually so hard to project, see Queen and Murray. The position is so hard to learn because you have to be able to play the run and pass at a high level. They take a long time time to develope because of how mentally challenging it is. TE is similar on the offensive side. Meanwhile, edge rusher is a lot easier to scout and it's a premium position.

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                      • Formula 21
                        The Future is Now
                        • Jun 2013
                        • 18272
                        • Republic of San Diego
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                        Originally posted by wu-dai clan View Post
                        Leaving no stone unturned, here is the unspeakable.

                        Should we draft Alt @ #5
                        To play OLT ?

                        Then trade Rashawn for medium, high draft picks.

                        We would stave off for a handful of years the need to pay an expensive franchise OLT contract.
                        A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush. Alt is still in the bush.
                        Now, if you excuse me, I have some Charger memories to suppress.
                        Let’s win one for Mack.

                        Comment

                        • Formula 21
                          The Future is Now
                          • Jun 2013
                          • 18272
                          • Republic of San Diego
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                          Originally posted by wu-dai clan View Post

                          I must not watch any more Nabors, MHJ Bowers or Turner tape. Damn.
                          I wouldn’t stop doing any of the fun stuff.
                          Now, if you excuse me, I have some Charger memories to suppress.
                          Let’s win one for Mack.

                          Comment

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