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Charger Rookies - Pump the Brakes

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  • Charger Rookies - Pump the Brakes

    There's a lot of chatter lately about how good our draftees / UDFA's are, and how they plug holes and are the missing pieces that will make us great, BUT, even though I (generally) liked our draft, we need to slow our roll as far as our expectations of them in year one is concerned. These guys are rookies - no matter how talented they are there's an enormous jump in competition (physically) and scheme complexity (mental) from college to the NFL. They may very well all turn out to be world beaters, but don't expect it in year #1.

    I expect QJ to make an impact, particularly when MW and KA go down, but, IMO if you're expecting the others to make significant impacts you're going to be disappointed. We didn't draft any Micah Parsons in this draft.

    Comments . . . . . . .

  • #2
    I don't see any real difference in the general feel about this class, in my opinion,may be even more muted as they drafted in the last half of the round. Pump the brakes all you want, I'll wait until camp before I make any opinion if the rookie will help. Maybe the one thing that I noticed was here is maybe just one of our members as hating the draft.

    Comment


    • #3
      Wouldn't surprise me by mid season if Henley takes Murrays spot. Once he gets comfortable it is a matter of him diagnosing plays quicker than Murray.
      Murray isn't real good at getting off blocks either and ends up taken out of the play too often. Year 4 maybe it finally clicks for him but we'll see.
      Tuli will get some action and Davis will be the returner but after that, I don't expect much from the others year one. But, you never know.
      My Totally Wrong Final Mock
      (assuming Bijan is gone)

      21. Dalton Kincaid TE/ Utah
      54. Jonathan Mingo WR/ Ole Miss
      85. Rochon Johnson RB/ Texas
      125. Isaiah Maguire Edge/ Missouri
      156. Trey Palmer WR-KR/ Nebraska

      200. McClendon Curtis OG-OC / Chattanooga
      239. Rejzohn Wright CB /Oregon st

      Comment


      • #4
        These are a lot of plug and play guys. The league isn’t that sacrosanct.

        Comment


        • #5
          Nonsense - These guys arent here for 2023 to be #1 starters but we are going to see some of them early and often

          QJ: Regular role as #3 and Alternate #1/#2. 25+ snaps a game
          Tuli: Regular rotational sub - 25+ snaps a game
          Henley: TBd - agree, it depends on K9
          DD: Returning day 1, not a lot more snaps
          McF: If we see him, there’s a problem
          Matlock: Increasing rotational sub snaps as the season goes on.
          Duggan: won’t see him after PS

          Then there’s all of those UDFAs that ……. Hello? … …
          THE YEAR OF THE FLIP!

          Comment


          • #6
            "If you give a guy a helmet, you expect him to make a contribution". -- John Harbaugh One of my favorite quotes from the the most recent draft.
            I also like. Lefty, how you said "when" KA and MW go down, not "if".

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by dmac_bolt View Post
              Nonsense - These guys arent here for 2023 to be #1 starters but we are going to see some of them early and often

              QJ: Regular role as #3 and Alternate #1/#2. 25+ snaps a game
              Tuli: Regular rotational sub - 25+ snaps a game
              Henley: TBd - agree, it depends on K9
              DD: Returning day 1, not a lot more snaps
              McF: If we see him, there’s a problem
              Matlock: Increasing rotational sub snaps as the season goes on.
              Duggan: won’t see him after PS

              Then there’s all of those UDFAs that ……. Hello? … …
              Pretty on the mark

              The UDFA DT - Clark - - he might get some play this year too. He and Matlock will be fighting it out.

              As for QJ - you nailed it. He WR3 today - and should work into WR1 or WR2

              Comment


              • #8
                NFL.com had an article I saw this morning, highlighting 12 day 3 guys that could see significant snaps this year. Matlock made the list, citing he is a perfect fit scheme wise for us. They also noted that Salyer was one of the top 2022 day 3 guys in snaps eaten. I will have a bit of optimism going into camp.

                Comment


                • #9
                  I pumped this draft class to counter some of the negativity being expressed on this board over some of the picks. It reminded me of the ample draft-day negativity expressed toward the Herbert pick in 2020.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Lefty2SLO View Post
                    I expect QJ to make an impact, particularly when MW and KA go down, but, IMO if you're expecting the others to make significant impacts you're going to be disappointed. We didn't draft any Micah Parsons in this draft.
                    If DD leads the league in punt return yardage and/or brings back one or two to the house, I think that makes him a successful 4th round pick, regardless of what he does or doesn't do as a WR.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      I'm expecting QJ to get 35-40 catches this season. Do I need to pump the brakes?!?

                      I'm expecting Tuli to be in a regular D-line sub rotation. Not start, not dominate, but contribute. Is that outrageous?

                      Henley? I'm expecting him to excel on special teams initially, while increasing his snaps on defense over the course of the season. Too optimistic?

                      D. Davis? I'm expecting him to return punts and kicks, and to be an upgrade. He won't set the league on fire, but will improve the overall quality of the Bolts' special teams' production. If the coaches don't believe he can do this, they wouldn't have drafted him. THEY wouldn't tell you that my expectation is too lofty.

                      5th round and on, ANYthing is a bonus beyond special teams reps. IMO, Scott Matlock is the most likely Day 3 pick to provide that. I expect a somewhat greater contribution from Matlock than the club got from Otito, who was the team's 5th round pick in 2022, last year, Otito had worked his way into a rotation on the d-line before blowing out a knee. No doubt in my mind that Matlock comes in more ready to contribute that Otito was, and so I think it's realistic to forecast an Otito-like arc for him.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by Bolt4Knob View Post

                        Pretty on the mark

                        The UDFA DT - Clark - - he might get some play this year too. He and Matlock will be fighting it out.

                        As for QJ - you nailed it. He WR3 today - and should work into WR1 or WR2
                        I expect that In 2024, not this year..... or if one of MW or Keenan misses games.He won't be 1 or 2 while everyone is healthy this season.
                        My Totally Wrong Final Mock
                        (assuming Bijan is gone)

                        21. Dalton Kincaid TE/ Utah
                        54. Jonathan Mingo WR/ Ole Miss
                        85. Rochon Johnson RB/ Texas
                        125. Isaiah Maguire Edge/ Missouri
                        156. Trey Palmer WR-KR/ Nebraska

                        200. McClendon Curtis OG-OC / Chattanooga
                        239. Rejzohn Wright CB /Oregon st

                        Comment

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