Originally posted by powderblueboy
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2021 Draft Discussion - Bolts Pick 13th
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Originally posted by Bolt Dude View Post
Agree. That 2019 Notre Dame tape wasn’t his best. He made big steps towards being a complete LT in the 2020 season.
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For those zeroing in on pass protection, here’s some excellent data:
True Pass Sets represent snaps in which an offensive tackle pass-protects specifically without play-action, rollouts, and screens, with more than a three-man rush, and with between two and four seconds to throw the ball. This gives a more accurate picture of true pass protection.
In 212 true pass sets in 2018 and 2019, Sewell allowed one sack, two quarterback hits, and six quarterback hurries.
Slater allowed five sacks and 35 total pressures in true pass sets as a right tackle in 2017 and 2018. He cleaned that up to a monstrous degree when moving to the left side in 2019, with no sacks, no quarterback hits, and three quarterback hurries on 142 sets.
In 291 career true pass sets, Darrisaw allowed three sacks, four quarterback hits, and 17 quarterback hurries. He allowed zero sacks and just six pressures on 269 pass-blocking snaps last season, according to Pro Football Focus.
In 495 true pass sets (a comparatively high number in this class) over three seasons, Cosmi allowed just three sacks and 23 total pressures.
You have to go back a ways to find the numbers, but over 680 NCAA pass-blocking snaps, Little allowed just 22 total pressures — four sacks, four quarterback hits, and 14 quarterback hurries. All four of those sacks, three hits, and 11 pressures came on true pass sets.
Source: https://touchdownwire.usatoday.com/l...wn-slater/amp/Our quarterback is a golden god.
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Originally posted by eaterfan View PostI hate to do this again, but if you have an hour and a quarter listen to today's Athletic Football show. They go DEEP into offensive line prospects with Brandon Thorne, line guru.
It's free.
https://theathletic.com/podcast/211-...w/?episode=121Our quarterback is a golden god.
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Originally posted by Bolt Dude View PostFor those zeroing in on pass protection, here’s some excellent data:
True Pass Sets represent snaps in which an offensive tackle pass-protects specifically without play-action, rollouts, and screens, with more than a three-man rush, and with between two and four seconds to throw the ball. This gives a more accurate picture of true pass protection.
In 212 true pass sets in 2018 and 2019, Sewell allowed one sack, two quarterback hits, and six quarterback hurries.
Slater allowed five sacks and 35 total pressures in true pass sets as a right tackle in 2017 and 2018. He cleaned that up to a monstrous degree when moving to the left side in 2019, with no sacks, no quarterback hits, and three quarterback hurries on 142 sets.
In 291 career true pass sets, Darrisaw allowed three sacks, four quarterback hits, and 17 quarterback hurries. He allowed zero sacks and just six pressures on 269 pass-blocking snaps last season, according to Pro Football Focus.
In 495 true pass sets (a comparatively high number in this class) over three seasons, Cosmi allowed just three sacks and 23 total pressures.
You have to go back a ways to find the numbers, but over 680 NCAA pass-blocking snaps, Little allowed just 22 total pressures — four sacks, four quarterback hits, and 14 quarterback hurries. All four of those sacks, three hits, and 11 pressures came on true pass sets.
Source: https://touchdownwire.usatoday.com/l...wn-slater/amp/
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Originally posted by Topcat View Post
Good info...so, if we go CB or D-line @#13, Cosmi at #47 starting to look pretty good...
1. These are college stats. When transposing the data for NFL play it’s important to take arm length into account.
2. The ACC has more quality pass rushers than the other conferences. This year, there are more draftable edge prospects from the ACC than Big 10, SEC, Big 12, and Pac 12...combined.Our quarterback is a golden god.
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Originally posted by Topcat View Post
Good info...so, if we go CB or D-line @#13, Cosmi at #47 starting to look pretty good...
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Originally posted by eaterfan View Post
I think there's a better chance Slater makes it to 13 than Cosmi makes it to 47. I read a lot of mock drafts and at this point it seems like Slater makes it to us at 13 about 33% of the time and Cosmi getting to 47 is about 20%. Anything can happen and I also think how early Slater goes and if the Chargers take an OT at 13 will obviously impact whether Cosmi hits at 47. Honestly, I wouldn't be upset if they took both if they were available at our 13th and 47th picks.
At #13:
Sewell 5%
Slater 40%
Darrisaw 80%
Jenkins 90%
At #47:
Jenkins 5%
Radunz 20%
Cosmi 40%
Little 65%
Spencer Brown 75%
D’Ante Smith 90%
*33” arms cut off eliminates Christensen, Eichenberg, and AVT.Our quarterback is a golden god.
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Originally posted by Bolt Dude View Post
Here’s the odds in my head...
At #13:
Sewell 5%
Slater 40%
Darrisaw 80%
Jenkins 90%
At #47:
Jenkins 5%
Radunz 20%
Cosmi 40%
Little 65%
Spencer Brown 75%
D’Ante Smith 90%
*33” arms cut off eliminates Christensen, Eichenberg, and AVT.
Slater 20%
Darrisaw 30%
Jenkins 50%
Cosmi 99%
Jenkins 1%
Cosmi 10%
Radunz 25%
Brown 60%
Little 70%
AVT is a plug n play elite OG who has versatility to kick outside if needed. Eichenbert a strep below AVT and Christensen inside, possibly Center as best position eventually.
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Originally posted by TexanBeerlover View Post
Sewell 5%
Slater 20%
Darrisaw 30%
Jenkins 50%
Cosmi 99%
Jenkins 1%
Cosmi 10%
Radunz 25%
Brown 60%
Little 70%
AVT is a plug n play elite OG who has versatility to kick outside if needed. Eichenbert a strep below AVT and Christensen inside, possibly Center as best position eventually.
There’s a chance that a team might favor Darrisaw over Slater just because of physical traits, but that would elevate Slater’s odds to more than 20%.
If 3 teams in the top 12 go OT, it’d be CIN, CAR, and DAL. But I can’t see 4 teams taking an OT before us. There’s no way.Our quarterback is a golden god.
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