Originally posted by Panamamike
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The NFL passer rating formula then combines the the adjusted four component parts as follows:
Further, I did not guess about anything I posted. I ran the numbers before I posted the information. That is how I knew that if Mahomes had thrown the number of TDs he has averaged in 2019 and 2020 (32) instead of the ridiculous outlier of 50, he would have fallen short of Smith's 2017 passer rating even with keeping the YPA outlier. Basically, I nailed my predictions regarding parts a and d, which were the only categories in which I made predictions, and it took major outliers (courtesy of the second highest all time number of TDs thrown in a single season and the 7th highest YPA of the 2010s decade by any QB) in TD% and YPA to sink my prediction.
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