Originally posted by Xenos
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POLL: Will TT Pick Up Tillery's 5th Year Option?
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Originally posted by Xenos View PostProve to me that the distance has to be very long on 3rd down. Show me the breakdown otherwise you’re full of nonsense like usual.
You inability to comprehend the evidentiary significance of the content of those posts is not my problem.
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Originally posted by equivocation View PostAccording to the sharpfootballstats.com database in 2021 teams ran on 3rd and long 13.2% of the time and were successful on 23% of runs. Teams were successful on 28% of passes.
Factor in our poor run defense and Tillery's poor run defending in particular and it is easy to see that the running game would likely be even more successful against us in those situations, which our other run defense numbers also indicate is likely.
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Originally posted by chaincrusher View Post
Read posts numbered 81, 85, 87, 89, 91, 94, 100, 101 and 105.
You inability to comprehend the evidentiary significance of the content of those posts is not my problem.
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Originally posted by chaincrusher View Post
I think this sums up your analytical prowess:
veryourhead:
With a hat tip to Velo, do you think Tom Telesco going to pick up the 5th year option on Jerry Tillery? Telesco has until Monday (May 2) to decide. Tillery would make $10.753 mil in 2023 guaranteed under the 5th year option (His 2022 salary would be guaranteed too I think.), according to this source: https://nfltraderumors.co/20
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:stirpot:
Think they can put Jerry out there on 3rd and long.
Situations of 8yd or more per this football outsiders article.Which routes and coverages work best when the offense needs to pick up big yardage in one play? And which individuals played best and worst in those situations?Who has it better than us?
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Originally posted by Xenos View Post
Said the person who can’t even read statistics:
https://www.thepowderblues.com/forum...52#post1347652
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Originally posted by chaincrusher View Post
Assuming that equivocation properly stated the stat he cited, you are delusional. What part of a 23% success rate running the ball being almost as successful as a 28% success rate passing the ball do you not understand?
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Originally posted by equivocation View PostIn general, you want the opposing offense to run on 3rd and long. If they do run, it's usually up to the second and third levels to get the stop as it's likely some sort of draw or delay.
I can't believe this has to be said.
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Originally posted by Critty View Post:stirpot:
Think they can put Jerry out there on 3rd and long.
Situations of 8yd or more per this football outsiders article.
Running the ball obviously is not common on third-and-long, and only quarterback scrambles have a positive EPA on average. Even draw plays -- which might be thought of as a better run type in these situations, designed to catch the defense off-guard -- produce a -0.11 EPA and 23 percent Positive%, similar to other basic zone runs.
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